High Expectations: One Theory

I’m a little rusty here, but I wanted to take a crack at Bruno’s question by noting that Ezra Klein takes a crack at shifting momentum in the campaign, focusing on the trend of the “elite” finally hopping down off the fence on Obama’s side of it.

Been puttering around the internet today trying to think of things to write, and mainly what I see are endorsements for Barack Obama, some explicit, some implicit. Andrew Sullivan, of course, has been beating the Obama drum for some time. Matt Yglesias’s vote for the guy won’t come as a surprise. James Fallows is clearly leaning towards Obama, and Chris Hayes left no doubt where his loyalties lie…

And the list goes on from there.

Some of those endorsements were expected. Some were not. But I really didn’t foresee this unanimity. A couple months ago, Hillary Clinton had far more traction among this group, and Obama hadn’t come anywhere near assuaging concerns abut his candidacy.

If you posit that these endorsements reflect the mood of the Democratic Party apparatus and the superdelegates, you may conclude that Clinton no longer has the confidence of the party. The superdelegates may conclude that if Clinton couldn’t beat an upstart Senator from Chicago, she’s not the candidate to run against McCain in the general election. Theoretical advantage Obama, and previous assumption about a brokered convention turned on its head.